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Strategic Positioning

Healthcare M&A Predictions, Take Two: Under Biden & Post-COVID-19

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Last July just as the world was about to reopen and fallout from months of lost revenue was about to descend, we polled our extensive network to see what the future held for hospital mergers and acquisitions.

Who would be buying? Who would be selling? How would a previously active M&A landscape change in light of the pandemic? And might the looming election shift power from one side of the aisle to the other, leading to significant regulatory or legislative changes?

You can see what our experts said then.

So, what do they say now?

Glad you asked. Because we did too.

We checked back with several of our prognosticators, along with a few other players in the legal, financial, strategic planning and management consulting sectors, asking them four questions:

As before, we’ve condensed the answers into a few themes, but the full verbatim can be found below the summary.

Asked if the rate of transactions will begin to climb, a slight plurality predicted the pace and volume of transactions will remain at current levels throughout 2021. The rest said they expect to see the pace of transactions ramp up in Q2 or Q3.

Why did our experts pick the timeline they did?

The consensus was that operational hurdles created by the pandemic have subsided or will soon subside, and that atypical events like the distribution of Cares Act relief funds didn’t change “underlying economic pressures.” Moreover, they noted that the endgame to the pandemic seems to be taking shape, as does a path to economic recovery.

As a return to some “normalcy” occurs, it will become apparent who has emerged stronger, who is weaker and which organizations that were struggling and looking for a partner before the pandemic brought life screeching to a halt – might resume a courtship.

These factors and trends were common across the responses we received, with the differences generally being whether people thought they had resolved enough to have already pushed the pace of transactions to a plateau (“the pace we see today is the pace we’ll see this year) or if they’re still getting worked out (Q2/3).

When we asked about top considerations for buyers and sellers, our experts mentioned:

Buyers balancing resources: recovery vs acquisition
Sellers being flexible and setting realistic expectations
Need for care in the deal process to get through regulatory scrutiny
Buyers helping sellers address the state of their workforce
Need for alignment on strategy and purpose behind a deal (not just scale)

When it came to whether or not deals will be harder to do today, the consensus was “yes.” We heard a few common reasons why:

Federal Scrutiny

(Likely) HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra’s name and reputation came up repeatedly.

State/Local Scrutiny

Non-local control and the effect of consolidation on health equity and community good may be a concern.

Value Proposition

New economic realities and getting to underlying valuations may make deals harder.

Purpose

“Scale for the sake of scale” won’t work. Deals need to be strategic and close existing gaps in services/operations.

Transformation

There is a need to pursue deals that will advance technology and value-based care.

COVID-19’s Wake

Sorting out the underlying fundamentals from the noise of relief funds adds layers of complexity.

Whatever predictions do come true, the tone of the comments reveals something quietly significant and hopeful: There will be a renewed focus on non-COVID-19-related work. Providers are turning their attention to what comes next, signaling the pandemic’s last miles and the opening push for the new administration.

Take a look at the full comments below.

Joe Cerreta

Partner

Barry Sagraves

Partner

Are deals going to be harder to do?

Transactions will be harder to complete, though for reasons beyond changing attitudes of federal regulators. While the new administration is likely to neutral to negative toward consolidation, the FTC will continue its historic opposition rather than ratchet it up. Most of the increased difficulty is completing transactions will be the result of a fundamental change in the economics of the hospital industry, with COVID-19 accelerating trends toward value based care and a risk based reimbursement model as well as increasing consumer preferences for outpatient settings and digital interaction. Systems looking to add members will face more uncertainty and risk in transactions. There will be more organizations seeking to join a system than systems seeking new members. Finally, state and local government may be more hostile to consolidation as concerns about health equity and the good of the community add to worries about non-local control.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Buyers will have to effectively balance resources between trying to complete transactions while recovering from the pandemic and meeting the many changes in the industry. Promising appropriate consideration to successfully be selected as the partner of choice and then delivering the promised benefits will be key for overall system success.

Sellers

Those seeking to join a system will need to have realistic expectations. While many partner-seekers will be distressed, those with stronger financial and competitive positions may find fewer and/or less-aggressive suitors. It will be more important than ever that those considering joining a system utilize a flexible, appropriate approach to the market and not unintentionally chase away a high-quality partner with overly cumbersome RFPs, lengthy negotiations or excessive demands.

When will deals pick up?

Q3

Partnership activity (though not necessarily announced transactions) will pick up in the third quarter.  Visibility on vaccines and the course of the pandemic should be more clear, as well as the state of the economy. Buyers should be feeling more certainty and will need to address the underlying needs for growth and scale after a pandemic-induced hiatus.

Ascendient

Dawn Carter

Founder & Senior Partner

Are deals going to be harder to do?

I definitely believe that there will be heightened scrutiny from the Biden administration and the FTC. In addition, buyers will continue to be more discerning in deals they pursue, for their own strategic reasons, as well as to avoid lengthy, expensive efforts that are eventually blocked by the FTC.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Clearly articulating the strategic purpose of the deal and understanding the value the target brings to the organization.

Sellers

Making sure the organization is as financially strong as possible before embarking on a process, as most buyers have very little interest in financially vulnerable organizations.

When will deals pick up?

The pace today is the pace we’ll see.

Things slowed a bit in 2020, particularly as health systems were trying to get their operational “sea legs” for COVID-19.  Despite the ongoing pandemic, those operational hurdles have been dealt with for the most part and there is a lot more normalcy around M&A transactions. The challenges to the pace will continue to be a) a lot of “low-hanging fruit” deals have been done, so those remaining are more difficult for a reason and/or are much larger deals, which then gets to #1 above; b) overall conservative, low-risk position of most buyers.

Bass, Berry & Sims PLC

Angela Humphreys

Chair, Healthcare Practice Group and Co-Chair, Healthcare Private Equity Team

Are deals going to be harder to do?

There certainly will be more considerations at play, including calibrating for a return to pre-COVID volumes, addressing government funding such as Provider Relief Funds, Medicare Advance Payments and PPP loans, and the potential for increased antitrust scrutiny under the Biden administration.  That said, with a bit of pent up demand, 2021 is poised for high deal flow, particularly for companies that have a view towards value based care and the implementation of technology solutions.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Comfort around the long-term sustainability of the business post-COVID.

Sellers

Certainty of valuation.

When will deals pick up?

Q3

Smaller hospitals have been struggling in the wake of COVID-19 due, in part, to a downturn in elective procedures and thin financial reserves.  As a result, they will need to pursue strategic alliances and partnerships to survive. Separately, query whether this will be a year of the mega merger that brings together large competitors to capitalize on synergies from streamlined management and payor and vendor contracting strategies.

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Robert York

Director, Value-Based Care Practice Leader

R. Christopher Regan

Founding Partner, Managing Director

Are deals going to be harder to do?

Increasing regulatory scrutiny and industry impact due to COVID has refocused healthcare executives to increase overall partnership evaluation and diligence efforts. We don’t see deals happening just to make a deal. It is critical to ensure that future partnerships are sustainable and will deliver on the organization’s long-term strategic goals and objectives as well as satisfy any regulatory concerns.  The partnership process from evaluation to close consumes tremendous organizational bandwidth and so it is critical to make sure there is a clear and sustainable business case for a particular partnership upfront before investing significant time and effort.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Healthcare leadership is re-evaluating overall organizational portfolios given the lessons learned from this past year and identifying capabilities and relationships they need to build out operationally, clinically and financially to stabilize and strengthen the organizational position into 2021.  No matter where you sit in the healthcare eco-system it is time to re-evaluate your organization’ position and needs based on the changed external and internal situation and go-forward outlook.

Sellers

Hospitals and health system partnerships have been focused on building up scale and reach for the sake of scale and reach. But, building scale for scale’s sake is no longer a sufficient case for partnership by itself and healthcare leadership is placing a greater focus on partnerships that can diverse revenue/risk profile and materially advance capabilities and close gaps in the current portfolio including physician, ambulatory and other non-hospital based businesses, virtual/ technology enabled care delivery and management and payor and health plan products.

When will deals pick up?

The pace today is the pace we’ll see.

Hospital deals started to pick back up in Q4 2020 and we see that continuing.  Broader healthcare M&A activity outside of hospitals including both virtual/ digital health plays and physician and ambulatory really remained strong and is continuing to do so.  We expect this resurgence of partnership activity to continue through 2021 as healthcare leadership attention shifts from crisis management to mid- to long-term strategy and sustainability; however, the range of options will look different from years past and continue to extend well beyond traditional hospital to hospital deals.

Juniper Advisory

Rex Burgdorfer

Managing Director

Are deals going to be harder to do?

Health care combinations won’t necessarily be harder to do, but partnership processes will likely need to be more robust to meet heightened regulatory scrutiny. The leadership of Vice President Harris and HHS Secretary nominee Becerra may influence policy at the FTC and DOJ. It is also worth noting that State Attorneys General are also playing a more active role in reviewing hospital transactions. 

COVID has, and will continue to, drive transformation in health care. The experience of a global pandemic has accelerated the rate of change in the industry dramatically. As a result, hospitals and health systems are increasingly looking for new ways to work together to serve their communities and ensure their ongoing vitality. There are a few trends we expect to see more of in 2021: 1) number of transactions between large $1+B health systems across geographic boundaries, 2) partnerships between providers and payors and 3) unique structures that bring two health systems very close together operationally but stop short of change of control. 

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

There has been a growing focus on regulatory review in M&A transactions.  As the market for corporate control in the hospital industry matures, data like the American Bar Association “Deal Point Study” are settling in on what constitutes ‘market’ value, terms, and conditions.  The wildcard, however, which always seems to arise in the final negotiations of a definitive agreement, is the risk exchange surrounding various government programs and oversight.

For both buyers and sellers, speed and moving partnership processes forward continues to be a main objective. The benefits of partnership and scale have never been more important than during the pandemic response. The sooner hospitals can affiliate, the sooner their institution and their community will see the positive impact.  However, for buyers of distressed hospitals, we are seeing prolonged periods of due diligence as they evaluate their financial positions and risk. 

When will deals pick up?

Q3

Systems that we work have a pent-up demand for forming regional partnerships.  COVID proved to be a significant disruption to hospital operations and strategic plans. The federal Cares Act relief funding was helpful but has not changed the underlying economic pressures causing management teams to believe that better coordination across the sector is needed to improve the efficiency and quality of care.  Once vaccinations are more widespread, and long-term strategic initiatives dusted-off, I think we’ll see a return to ~100 transaction per year.

Are deals going to be harder to do?

The effect of the Biden Administration on transactions is uncertain, but the guess is that we will see a more active FTC going forward.  But I don’t believe that the regulatory environment and any changes implemented under the Biden Administration will be a material impediment to closing deals.  The challenges are going to be around valuation expectations for both buyers and sellers given the last 12 months of operations for hospitals were so impacted by COVID.   An additional uncertainty that will influence the valuation discuss will be any progress on expanding the coverage of the Medicare program.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Buyers will need to evaluate the state of the workforce at a target facility to understand the potential and the length of time for employees to return to “business as usual.”

Sellers

Sellers will want to assess what a Buyer brings to the table that might help the same workforce fatigue issue.

When will deals pick up?

Q2

My prediction is that we will see the pace of hospital transactions increase in Q2, assuming that the recent positive trend in COVID-19 cases continues and more of the population is vaccinated.  Hospital leaders will be able to see the light at the end of the tunnel and turn back to strategic planning.  Also, there will be a number of hospitals/systems that will need to take strategic steps having been financially weakened over the last year.

Are deals going to be harder to do?

Yes, the historic trend of the mega-merger will be under a microscope by the Biden Administration. The Biden Administration has made it clear that it will intensify its review of healthcare mergers and acquisitions and the expectation is that there will be longer periods for review and greater likelihood of second requests by the FTC. In addition, State Attorneys General have become much more aggressive in their review of potential combinations, resulting in increased involvement in the terms of the agreement, particularly focusing on the covenants of purchasers post-closing, including provision of indigent care, limitations on rate increases and attention to social determinants of health. As a result of these factors, Buyers will have to take into account the increased time delays, expenses, potential divestiture of assets and increased commitments to the community in connection with such transactions. That being said, although it is anticipated that Secretary Becerra may indirectly and discreetly play a role in the policies connected with healthcare merger and acquisition review, we anticipate that Becerra’s strong support of the ACA will be a counterbalancing factor, along with continued relaxation of regulations and issuance of waivers at least for the remainder of COVID-19. In addition, buyers have the burden of scoping and quantifying the potential COVID-19 liabilities and the complications to a transaction as buyers try to understand what stimulus funds were received and the restrictions regarding use of the funds and the potential requirement to repay such funds. Finally, there is just the simple fact that healthcare mergers and acquisitions have become increasingly complex, time consuming and expensive. For all of the aforementioned reasons, it will be imperative for the parties to have a clear and strong strategic basis for the transaction, and go in in with eyes wide open to the challenges.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

From the perspective of a buyer, it is important to identify the key strategic goals of the transaction and create clear and consistent communication regarding how the transaction will satisfy those goals both within executive leadership and ultimately to the board. Increasingly, we are seeing that if the board is not tracking closely with the executive leadership team in the process, then there is more opportunity for the deal to not advance forward.

Sellers

As has historically been the case, certainty of close is imperative for sellers. As a result, I think that it is important for sellers to proactively take as many issues as possible off the table by being proactive in terms of diligence, transparency in terms of identification and resolution of issues so that the parties can minimize the closing conditions.

When will deals pick up?

Q2

There is significant capital that has been sitting on the sidelines for the better of part of 2020 that is waiting to be deployed.  Now that we have the (i) certainty of the election results, (ii) declines in COVID-19 cases, (iii) positive vaccine projections and (iv) boards and management teams more able to focus on strategic growth, hospitals and health system deal activity is picking up.  We are seeing an increase in activity in the letter of intent/definitive agreement stage already that should lead to deals closing Q2 of 2021.  In addition, we have seen a significant uptick in the hospitals and health systems focused on strategic service lines and vertical integration.  We also anticipate that the regional consolidations will continue to trend in 2021 as they have for the past few years.

Are deals going to be harder to do?

Deals have been difficult to do for a while and it does not seem that will be getting any easier, whether that is due to state Attorney General enforcement, lower HSR filing thresholds and FTC interest, or more discerning financial, operational, cultural and legal due diligence by parties. Having said that, while timelines may get drawn out and deal terms may get modified to accommodate stakeholders and regulators, deals will still close.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Since many hospital M&A transactions are effectuated through “membership substitutions”, one consideration for buyers in such structures is what post-closing operational covenants buyers are willing to commit to the “seller” (and, in effect, the communities served by the seller’s facilities). In prior years, many buyers were willing to commit to continue to operate the facilities, service lines and programs “as is” for a number of years, as well as committing to spend significant funds on capital commitments, IT integration or other meaningful projects at the seller facilities, and those are increasingly difficult commitments for buyers to make.

Sellers

On the flip side of a buyer’s consideration regarding making significant, long-term post-closing commitments, sellers need to consider, in the absence or reduction of such commitments, what is appropriate transaction consideration to “hand over the keys” and still obtain necessary approvals from their board, stakeholders or regulators. As hospitals move away from a focus on bricks and mortar development, and invest in telehealth, value based-care arrangements and innovative care delivery models, sellers will need to consider whether preservation of existing operations is appropriate.

When will deals pick up?

The pace today is the pace we’ll see.

The pace for 2021 is already very active, and such pace is likely to continue throughout the year, as C-suites and boards of hospitals looking to engage in discussions with potential buyers are now more able to commit the necessary time and attention to strategic initiatives. Buyers are also willing to engage in such discussions and are anxious to execute on opportunities that may not have presented themselves but for COVID-19.  In addition to “traditional” M&A, parties are actively discussing alternative transaction structures, including joint operating agreements, joint ventures, clinical collaboration arrangements, adding to the already energetic pace of transactional activity thus far in 2021.

Ponder & Co

Eb LeMaster

Managing Director

Are deals going to be harder to do?

In the context of regulatory scrutiny, there are several compelling reasons for why deals may become more difficult to consummate. As a long tenured member of the California Assembly, a House Representative and California Attorney General, Xavier Becerra, has a strong track record for aggressive antitrust oversight, including his opposition of the proposed deal between Adventist Health and St. Joseph Health and adding stringent conditions to the Cedars-Sinai Medical Center merger with Huntington Memorial Hospital. Moreover, spurred by the challenges of the pandemic in an already challenging operating environment, we expect the stakes of regulatory intervention to continue to rise as providers seek in-market or adjacent-market acquisitions. Notable deals that received FTC intervention, or are under regulatory review, include Prisma’s acquisition of three LifePoint hospitals in South Carolina and Methodist Le Bonheur’s attempted acquisition of Tenet’s Memphis assets. As providers continue to evaluate their strategic options and expand out from regional hubs or divest non-core assets to in-region competitors, we expect this trend of increasing regulatory scrutiny to continue. Consequently, to help mitigate protracted deal processes due to regulatory intervention and significant legal expense, we are already seeing buyers, more intentional on the front end of due diligence, proactively engage anti-trust counsels and economic advisors, to assess the merits of a deal from a regulatory perspective.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Assessing the likely breadth and intensity of buyer interest prior to marketing is more important than ever during the pandemic. In some cases, buyers are focusing almost exclusively on pre-pandemic financial/operating trends and results while in other cases, they are factoring in the impact of the pandemic, adjusting run rate cash flow downward and adjusting target results for governmental financial support. New Hanover Regional Medical Center, for example, was able to hold the line on its $1.5 billion pre-pandemic valuation from Novant Health, certainly benefitting from the significant interest from a range of for-profit and not-for-profit partners in the event terms changed. Other sellers with less interest from the market have not been so fortunate as transactions have been repriced or commitments changed. Ultimately, this is as much an art as it is a science, and the outcome is heavily dependent on the breadth and depth of partner interest.

When will deals pick up?

The pace today is the pace we’ll see.

We expect the average quarterly volume in 2021 to be similar to the levels of 2020. On the one hand, Q4 2020 announced volume was strong with 28 announced transactions, the highest single quarterly total since Q1 of 2018. Also, there is a healthy backlog of more than a dozen systems in partnership discussions and under LOIs towards affiliation from the latter part of 2020. However, the pandemic will continue to hold down transaction volumes as healthcare systems and hospitals have been given short-term breathing room through pandemic government support payments and as volumes continue to ramp up ahead of original expectations despite the continued pandemic. Many health systems are using this time to recalibrate financial projections for the remainder of 2021 and continue to study strategic options. Also, the top driver of consolidation–significant negative governmental reimbursement change—is highly unlikely in the near-term in light of the pandemic and related pressures on health systems.

Are deals going to be harder to do?

Historically, Democratic administrations have applied more regulation to transactions. So, we believe we can expect that there will be more scrutiny particularly of larger transactions. Xavier Becerra and Kamala Harris were very engaged in looking at anti-competitive behavior when they were in the Attorney General’s office in California, so it would not surprise me if larger transactions got additional scrutiny from the FTC. For example, this article cites Becerra’s antitrust litigation against Sutter Health.

What are key considerations for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Buyers need to consider and make sure that the grants and loans provided to facilities in 2020 are not masking systemic financial issues and considering the impact repayment of those amounts may have on the cash flow of the hospitals. Using CHS as an example, the government appears willing to spread repayments out over quite a long period of time.

Sellers

Sellers will need to move quickly. Transactions that take 9-12 months are more costly and increase the likelihood the deal won’t get done. It also weighs on your employees and could lead to attrition. Sometimes you can’t avoid it, getting AG approvals and the like, but if you can, getting a deal closed quickly will save everyone money and make for a happier workforce.

When will deals pick up?

Q2

I think second quarter due to more vaccinations, more return to normalcy, and more pent-up demand. 2020 was a surprising year for M&A activity, but I remain bullish on transactions. I think the pandemic has strengthened some systems and weakened others which is a natural setting for more M&A transactions.

Historically, Democratic administrations have applied more regulation to transactions. So, we believe we can expect that there will be more scrutiny particularly of larger transactions. Xavier Becerra and Kamala Harris were very engaged in looking at anti-competitive behavior when they were in the Attorney General’s office in California, so it would not surprise me if larger transactions got additional scrutiny from the FTC. For example, this article cites Becerra’s antitrust litigation against Sutter Health.

Buyers

Buyers need to consider and make sure that the grants and loans provided to facilities in 2020 are not masking systemic financial issues and considering the impact repayment of those amounts may have on the cash flow of the hospitals. Using CHS as an example, the government appears willing to spread repayments out over quite a long period of time.

Sellers

Sellers will need to move quickly. Transactions that take 9-12 months are more costly and increase the likelihood the deal won’t get done. It also weighs on your employees and could lead to attrition. Sometimes you can’t avoid it, getting AG approvals and the like, but if you can, getting a deal closed quickly will save everyone money and make for a happier workforce.

Q2

I think second quarter due to more vaccinations, more return to normalcy, and more pent-up demand. 2020 was a surprising year for M&A activity, but I remain bullish on transactions. I think the pandemic has strengthened some systems and weakened others which is a natural setting for more M&A transactions.

Provider Profile: Glens Falls Hospital

A hospital building with exterior letters reading "Glen Falls Hospital"

A Workforce Vaccination Success Story

Eighty-seven percent.

That’s the acceptance rate for the COVID-19 vaccine at Glens Falls Hospital in Upstate New York. Moreover, the organization has already completed its administration of first doses. Remarkable milestones, certainly.

Glens Falls has some advantages – most significant being that it’s a small hospital with 400 beds and 2,500 employees. Even so, the level of vaccine acceptance among the employee base is stunning – especially in comparison to nearby hospitals that are sitting at 50 to 60 percent.

We wanted to know how they did it, so we chatted with Ray Agnew, vice president of hospital and community engagement, who explained his organization’s secret sauce. (See video for full conversation). Here are his top takes:

  1. Find a champion. Agnew and the Glens Falls team looked to Hillary Alycon, their director of infectious disease prevention and control, as a key messenger to explain the value of the vaccine. Alycon is known for connecting with people. “She’s incredibly articulate and fun to be around,” said Agnew, adding that she has a gift for explaining complex issues in understandable ways.
  2. Educate, don’t tell. The team has featured Alycon in two vaccine education videos. The first was for employees to understand why accepting the vaccination would be good for them and their patients. The second was for the community itself. Communications also puts out a weekly bulletin to help people understand what the vaccine is all about. Agnew emphasized that offering the same basic content in multiple formats and styles has been vital to helping each audience understand it and be more likely to accept it.
  3. Be transparent. It’s pretty straightforward. “We let people know that when we got information, they’d get information,” Agnew noted. Honesty about what is known and unknown helps people feel confident in the information they do receive, especially when dealing with a challenging situation like a disjointed vaccine rollout.
  4. Plan for simplicity. Made every effort for the vaccination process itself to be as easy as possible, Agnew said. “That’s been a big part of our success,” he said. When you’re talking about a fearful situation – fear of the disease and some fear of the vaccine as well – focus on simple messaging, process and directions.  Do that, and the communications will resonate.

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Price Transparency: An Experience, Not Just a Rule

A hand cleaning a soapy window with the sun beaming through

When the clock ticked over to January 1, the new CMS price transparency rule came into effect.

While its implementation may have been largely overshadowed by other issues, the rule is in place and providers should be thinking about it.

Whatever your plans were for the rule beforehand – list your prices, implement user-friendly price estimator tools, ignore the rule for now and pay the fine – it’s worth considering how your approach can affect your reputation and, potentially, bottom line going forward.

We spoke with James Cervantes, associate vice president and leader of the price transparency work here at Jarrard Inc., and Prashant Karamchandani, director in the revenue cycle practice at The Chartis Group, about key considerations for providers now that the rule is off and running. Watch the video or read the transcript below.

Read the Transcript

PK: CMS has put out there the regulation around price transparency and wanting organizations – healthcare organizations – to start to list the rates that they have with insurance companies, as well as,  they want patients to have visibility into what they’re charging and then what the reimbursement is and have an opportunity to do some comparisons.

And I think that’s the letter of the law and regulation. You have to have some level of viewing your shoppable services, but I think organizations that look at the regulation as just the only thing they need to do to be compliant are missing a key opportunity to use this regulation as a catalyst for change.

Which is aligning more to a more enhanced and better patient experience across the enterprise. And by that we mean starting to look at this to bring patients in. So if patients are coming to your website, looking at your rates, looking at your service offerings, you should be hooking them into a better workflow to continue them through that entire process.

Meaning, once they look at that information, they should then have an opportunity to identify what’s their actual estimate going to be for those services, start to think through, ‘How do I schedule for those services?’ And then if they can make payment or cannot make payments, start to engage in a conversation with the organization as to how they can address some of that.

So, yeah,there’s more you can do. And the more you can do with it is a different strategy. And it’s where folks should be spending that time right now – on that strategy – as well as complying with the letter of the law. So it’s a combination of both.

JC: So once you’ve created the program and you created your workflows and you operationalize that program, the next step is really to then communicate and share those tools and information with your patients and your community. So, how are you guiding patients to the front door of your health system or your hospital?

How are you directing them to the cost assessment or price estimator tool that you have? How are you reminding them of any financial or personal assistance programs that you have? Reminding them that if you’re providing estimates to procedures or surgeries, where to go for that information. So this is really in many ways a great time to remind patients and those that are seeking care at your organization of all the tools and information that they’ll have access to as they make their financial decisions about receiving care.

PK: I think there’s some key tangible benefits. So patient acquisition and patient retention, you’re going to instill trust within your patient population by providing this information out there and also continue having them coming back because you’ve created a whole new experience and level of transparency that they’re not used to today.

So it’s more than just listing pricing online, which is, I think, why we want to view it as a broader strategy. It’s really getting them into that better enabled and self-service workflow, which is how you want to be engaged with your patients and with all kinds of technology out there that you have, different things you can do to build that ecosystem. But I think that’s a key thing from an acquisition and retention perspective.

I think additionally, it helps from a patient financial experience for both not only the patient, but also for the organization. You can start to have more upfront conversations, easily, around expected out of pocket costs, how they might be able to pay for it, providing the mechanisms in which they can pay with all different types of technology, whether it be credit card or Google Pay, Apple Pay, the various things that are out there. That’s a key opportunity as well.

And then I think there’s a handful of patients out there – and it’s continuing to increase – where we’re seeing larger deductibles and out of pocket costs be placed on patients. So, we call under-insured and even the uninsured where you want to have a more upfront financial assistance conversation and creating that tightly knit workflow to help identify that through the price transparency and estimation will enable patients to better know, ‘can we afford it? Can we not? If we can’t afford it, what are my options?’ So they don’t feel reluctant to get care, but they feel like the provider organizations are really working with them to be helpful. And helping them find a solution so they can get care, but they also don’t create an extra financial burden on themselves.

JC: As providers share this information and communicate with patients. I think it’s really important to make it very clear and in a concise way using language that patients understand. So we’re talking a lot about price transparency. That doesn’t necessarily mean that price transparency needs to be the way that you refer to this program.

It’s really making sure that patients… it’s communicating very clearly all the tools and information and resources that they have access to. And for most patients that might just mean connecting them with your financial services team or your personal assistance program and having that really be a dialogue.

I think it’s important to make sure that the information is clear. It’s concise. You’re not using language that is a legal term that patients wouldn’t understand. So sort of putting it at their level and making sure that it’s just very clear and easy to access if they’re going through a website or if they’re calling the phone number to talk with someone.

PK: So I think there’s some key considerations you’re looking for. And some fall in the realm of the operations side of the house and some fall in the realm of technology and digitally enabling patients to have this experience. So first, I think it’s creating a strategy around the patient financial experience or the patient experience overall and using the price transparency component as a large initiative underneath it.

And then once you do that, you start to identify creating a much more refined and streamlined workflow for patients to enter into. So really it’s on an operational side, you’re mapping it out. And these are the functions that are going to hit scheduling departments, departments that do key revenue cycle functions around patient access.

So, pre-registration registration, insurance verification, et cetera, financial counseling, like we talked about. And then you have your component on the back end, which is the actual collections, which might happen at times. So you’re really looking at a more holistic view in terms of how you need to operationalize this.

And it’s more than just within the revenue cycle. If you’re a large provider organization, you need to get your clinics involved, your key departments involved, providers have to be integrally involved in these conversations. And then I think technically you need to evaluate your ecosystem and say, ‘within our core systems that we have today, can I do these things like provide an estimate? Can I do these things like collect payments ahead of time or pre-service  based off of the estimate? And can I do it in such a way that’s engaging with the patient to enable a level of self-service and customization so it’s not a generic experience? And I think those are the key things. So, defining the strategy, working with those departments to create that operational workflow, but making sure that workflow is supplemented with the right technology, both within your organization – and that might be infrastructure-related – as well as more patient-facing to get them in there. But really, when you think about it, that means it’s more than just a revenue cycle issue or a clinic issue. We’re talking about several different departments working in an integrated fashion to create that seamless experience.

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What Democrat-Controlled Washington Could Mean for Healthcare Providers

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For the first time since 2008, Democrats are poised to control both chambers of Congress and the White House once Joe Biden is sworn into office. The last time Democrats had complete control of Washington they used their political capital to pass the Affordable Care Act (ACA).

So, should we expect more sweeping change now that Democrats can once again run the field? Probably not.

There are two big differences between 2008 and now: Democrats razor-thin majorities in Congress and the COVID-19 pandemic that will continue to dominate DC.

What can healthcare leaders expect from a Democratic-controlled Washington? Here are a few thoughts:

More and bigger COVID-19 relief. While the idea of $2,000 stimulus checks for most Americans has grabbed headlines, Biden and congressional Democrats are certain to push for a new round of federal COVID-19 relief. That means additional dollars to support cash-strapped healthcare providers and more money to boost the sluggish vaccine rollout. Knowing this, now is the time for healthcare leaders to be in contact with their federal elected representatives to discuss the impact COVID-19 has had on their organization, team and community.

Shoring up the ACA. The thin majorities in the House and the Senate limit Democrats’ ability for large-scale healthcare reform like a public option or Medicare for all. However, expect Biden and congressional Democrats to restore ACA funding that was cut by the Trump administration and push for new exchange subsidies that would lower the overall consumer cost to purchase plans through the exchange.

Additional scrutiny on (some) healthcare consolidation. For months, experts have predicted that the financial challenges created by the pandemic will accelerate health system consolidation. At the same time, president-elect Biden has suggested healthcare mergers, especially mega-mergers, will receive additional scrutiny. Acquisitions of rural hospitals and smaller health systems are unlikely to receive the same attention from federal regulators as the mega-mergers.

Friendlier environment for unions. President-elect Biden has promised to be “the strongest labor president” ever. Additionally, Biden has chosen Boston Mayor Marty Walsh, a former labor union leader, as his Labor secretary. With Biden in the White House and Democrats controlling Congress, look for movement on the PRO Act, a rewrite of the National Labor Relations Act, that would make union organizing easier and weaken right-to-work laws.

With changes expected on both the legislative and regulatory fronts, now is the time for healthcare executives to have a thoughtful conversation with their leadership team about how change in Washington will impact their organizations. And, it never hurts to establish or renew relationships with your elected representatives to ensure your organization’s point of view is known.

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Haven: From Manhattan Project to Side Project

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What to make of Haven’s demise?

The partnership of Amazon, JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway was launched in 2018 to credulous fawning, despite the announcement being utterly devoid of anything.

Turns out, all the money in the world can’t buy a clear vision for success in healthcare. The industry is immune to half-hearted, drive-by attempts at big change, no matter your brand. It’s all or nothing, and without total buy-in from leadership (and deep pocketed backers), you end up where Haven did: What could have been a Manhattan Project turning out to be a side project.

It’s as easy today to mock Haven’s failure as it was to be skeptical at its creation – so we won’t judge if you do some mocking, because it’s fun. And fun can be hard to come by these days.

But once we’re done laughing and enjoying some self-righteous “told-you-so’s”, we face the same reality this industry has faced for decades: Who’s going to get healthcare costs under control?

We’re 11 years out from the passage of the ACA, which was successful in expanding coverage and unsuccessful in reining in costs. The cool kid “disruptors” have been narrowly focused on disrupting the wheelbarrows of healthcare money long enough to scoop some up for themselves, not on changing the market dynamics in a way that pays off for patients.

Big employers may yet unlock the vault with instructions for bending the cost curve, and it would still be dumb to bet against the world’s richest person and Amazon Care. But as costs continue to rise and many patients are forced to rely on having the best GoFundMe story in order to pay for their medical expenses, demands for substantive change will only increase.

This line, from one of the many Haven postmortems, stands out: “Healthcare providers and insurers have significant market leverage, and that’s difficult to overcome in trying to control costs,” said Kaiser Family Foundation’s Larry Levitt. To put another way: Providers and insurers are the reason healthcare costs are high.

For the moment, and as we have detailed throughout the last year, healthcare providers enjoy a considerable amount of trust, along with favorability ratings that we haven’t seen this century. Hospitals and health systems should view that positivity as ephemeral, a byproduct of the heroism displayed by frontline clinicians throughout the pandemic. As insurers continue, uh, let’s call it throwing their weight around, providers can leverage the current landscape to draw sharp contrasts with them – keeping in mind that the public goodwill might not extend indefinitely.

As we move through 2021 and the pandemic begins to recede, other elements are likely to come into sharper focus and scrutiny, including issues like price transparency and hospital consolidation. Now is the time to lead on these issues. You may not like the price transparency rule (ok, I know you don’t), because of the context it lacks. If that’s the case, then get to work providing that context. Get out ahead of the regulators and your consumers. Maybe you have a great partnership opportunity on the horizon – now is the time to start building a comprehensive story beyond “uh, scale?” for why it is great for the people you serve.

If the “incumbents” in healthcare aren’t going to change, and even the biggest disruptors can’t shake up care delivery in a meaningful (read: cheaper) way, then it is only a matter of time (and polling trends) before a broad coalition across this country views greater federal involvement in the delivery of healthcare as their only hope. If that bothers you, you’ve got time to change course. But not much.

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Price Transparency: Legal Considerations for Healthcare Providers

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CMS’ Pricing Transparency final rule takes effect 1/1/21.

Are you ready?

James Cervantes, associate vice president at Jarrard Inc., Emily Jane Cook, partner at McDermott Will & Emery and Steven Schnelle, associate at McDermott Will & Emery, discuss the legal and communications aspects of the new CMS price transparency rule. They also offer actionable steps hospitals and health systems can take to prepare for the January 1, 2021 start of the rule.

Watch the video or read the transcript below.

Read the Transcript

Steven Schnelle: When thinking about the hospital price transparency rule, it’s helpful to remember that this requirement was actually first created in the Affordable Care Act in 2010. So this is a long standing requirement for hospitals to publish their standard charges. But we didn’t see the hospital price transparency rule come about until November of 2019, which seemed to have expanded in many hospitals eyes what the actual requirements are that were imposed by the statute.

When thinking about the legal implications and how we can focus on the legal analysis related to the rule, we want to think about how are we interpreting the rule. And ultimately, because the rule was promulgated by a federal agency, we’re going to be applying administrative law principles when thinking about the interpretation.

Another important point to think about from a legal perspective is that the rule doesn’t actually prohibit hospitals from challenging government enforcement actions in federal court. And as a result, if you do have hospitals who are challenging what exactly the interpretation of the rule is, then the ultimate interpretation will be a judicial or legal interpretation coming from a federal court. So for that reason, it’s pretty important to work with a hospital’s in-house legal team and work with outside counsel, as maybe helpful to think about what does the rule actually mean when looking at the language that’s created by CMS in the preamble, and how might a hospital make informed decisions regarding what charges they’re going to publish and how they’re going to publish those charges.

Emily Cook: An important factor in evaluating implementation of the rule, as well as the risk, is the enforcement landscape. CMS has developed an escalating enforcement framework based on the regulations. They have established three separate ways in which they will engage in enforcement.

The first is a warning letter followed by an opportunity for corrective action . And then failing implementation of that corrective action by the hospital, administrative penalties. The administrative penalties are $300 per day per hospital. There will be an opportunity to appeal any penalties that are implemented and those enforcement actions are expected to be made public.

It’s also important to consider the risks outside of those imposed penalties within the regulation, including what compliance may mean in terms of other contractual obligations for compliance with laws.

James Cervantes: In addition to the legal risks, there are very real reputational risks. Particularly if a hospital is the only provider in that market who chooses not to comply. Remember, the penalties will be made public. We anticipate local and national media outlets will be digging into the data to highlight any variations in pricing information, both regionally and even nationally.

Consider how your pricing relative to competitors will sit with patients and consumers. On the flip side, we believe this is an opportunity to connect with patients and consumers in a way that hospitals aren’t doing today. It’s an opportunity to educate your consumers and patients about the difference between price charge and the cost of care that they ultimately pay.

It’s an opportunity to articulate the unique value of services that you’re providing and why it’s worth receiving care at your facility versus someone down the road. Done right, you can set yourself apart from others and create a better understanding of not only costs, but overall healthcare value.

Steven Schnelle: If we were to think about three important notes for executives who are tasked with implementing changes for the hospital price transparency rule, our first would be to have a really clear sense of where the rule is clear and areas where the rule is unclear.

Many parts of the rule are unclear or give hospitals a fair amount of interpretive flexibility. And at the same time, the rule can present certain principles for application to particular facts. So while the rule may not be particularly clear, certain principles can flow through and have a…present a certain rationale .While at the same time, it can be challenging because this rationale may not align clearly with the actual intent of the rule that is to make hospital costs more transparent to users – in other words, to patients who are coming to the hospital or considering coming to the hospital. In areas where the rule is unclear, or it gives hospitals interpreted flexibility, we recommend establishing your hospital’s interpretation in a written document.

This could be a policy and procedure document, and we would suggest that you include in this document any rationale that you’re using in interpreting the statute regulation and CMS’ sub-regulatory guidance. We would also recommend that these particular policies and procedures are applied consistently. This document can be utilized in various circumstances to support your hospital’s position.

James Cervantes: We couldn’t agree more that having policies and procedures in place is important.

We would also recommend having very clear language around what pricing information includes and, more importantly, what it doesn’t include, so patients have a very clear understanding of their insurance coverage, copay, deductibles, et cetera, influence their out-of-pocket costs. And that the price they see online is just one part of that.

Having clear disclaimer language should also be visible on your website and your price estimator tool, or any application that you use today to communicate with patients around the price information they see.

Steven Schnelle: And then we’d also recommend that you pay attention to legal developments as time goes on surrounding the rule.

CMS has continued to release guidance regarding interpreting the rule, and its regional offices are continuing to hold webinars for providers who are trying to wrap their heads around what the rule means. There’s also ongoing litigation related to the rule that will be important to follow. And we expect the contours of the rule are going to develop as CMS sees how different hospitals are interpreting the rules, requirements and response to those interpretations.

James Cervantes: While the legalities are sorted, we know that based on a recent consumer survey, we feel that patients are more likely to source price information by calling their doctor than searching on a hospital website or even calling their insurance company. This tells us that regardless of any outcome of the rule or litigation related to the rule, hospitals still need to be prepared to communicate price information to patients and consumers who are shopping for this information today.

Hospitals and providers who go further than just publishing the required data, those who simplify the complex and foster patient understanding and interaction and build connectivity, we believe will reap an advantage. Because even though a medical professional’s advice is the best influencer on consumer choice, we know that cost increasingly matters.

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Part 2 – The New Healthcare Marketing: Precision-Based Execution

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In an earlier post, nationally recognized healthcare marketer Reed Smith teased the need for healthcare marketers to drive engagement through precise targeting. Smith is a 20-year veteran of healthcare marketing and digital innovation who serves as Jarrard Inc.’s vice president of digital strategy. We asked him to get deeper into what precision-based execution means and some specific tactics for giving it a go.

Jarrard Inc.: Explain what you mean by precision-based execution

Reed Smith: It’s about avoiding broad digital marketing campaigns. Of course, sometimes you do need to go broad with, say a general brand awareness campaign. But for the most part, when you’re thinking about service line marketing, service line growth or patient acquisition, you need to be going after very specific people. And some of the typical approaches – like running radio ads – may not make sense.

JI: Has the need for or anything about this rifle approach changed over the past few months?

RS: The last eight months have created some interesting nuances. Think about the flu shot. We’re focusing on everyone getting a flu shot going into the winter, so that’s tens, hundreds of millions of people who need it. But providers can still be very specific about the messaging they’re using. It’s not, “Hey, everyone needs to get the flu shot.” It’s differentiating between and speaking directly to moms with kids at homes or empty-nesters or teens.

All of that is going to weigh into where you get the shot, the message that you hear convincing you to get it, the medium used to deliver that message – is it a video or a photo an ad on the local public radio station?

JI: We also know the messenger is critical. How do you combine the right precision-based message with the right messenger?

RS: With digital tools, we have a true opportunity to bring that message to the right people via the right messenger in fairly straightforward ways.

People want to hear from physicians, nurses, therapists, APPs and other caregivers. Once provider organizations have identified those people, digital channels lend themselves to expertise and thought leadership. Think about all the live content we see on Instagram or Facebook or YouTube. People are already accustomed to these types of environments because they’re already doing webinars and taking to other leaders through Zoom.

JI: But are people going to see that content?

RS: Historically, we’ve seen mediocre organic performance on social channels. Healthcare marketing has had to push pay-for-performance if we wanted anyone to see our content. But a side effect of COVID-19 is that we’ve gotten a lot more traffic to our sites because people are looking for medical information they can trust, and providers have been sharing it. We’re seeing a wave of organic traffic. Now we need to leverage that opportunity.

JI: Whether a provider feels behind or keeping pace with digital, how do they grab the opportunity you just mentioned? For example, do they just start doing Facebook live or take a more measured approach?

RS: Historically I’ve been a heavy proponent of “proceed until apprehended.” But it’s important to put some nuance on that. When it comes to digital marketing there’s value in trying things out, beta testing new approaches to figure out how useful they’ll be. You mentioned Facebook live. It’s hard to understand the ins and outs and how useful it’ll be without just using it.

But ultimately, you need to think through a strategy and a plan before you get too far down the road. Healthcare marketers need to answer the question about what a new tactic means for the organization – both strategically and tactically. The other issue to keep in mind is the politics. “If I do something with one physician, does that affect another physician?” Overall, though, if you have an understand of what’s going on across the organization and have built enough credibility to get permission to test and tinker, it’s great to get into the lab and figure out what works.

JI: What else have providers learned over the past few months?

RS: What I’ve found interesting is the expectations around virtual care and other alternative delivery methods. We’ve talked a lot about telehealth and how people have experienced it and loved it. But think, too, about drive-through testing for COVID-19. That’s all in place so drive-through flu shots wouldn’t be a stretch, right? So, organizations have an opportunity because the baseline has been reset.

If you want figure out how your organization stacks up when it comes to digital maturity, check out our 28-question, 15-minute Digital Maturity Survey. You’ll get a complimentary scorecard and benchmark against industry averages.

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The New Healthcare Marketing: Measure Twice. Improve Once.

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We’ve long said that measurement is one of the consistent deficiencies we observe when it comes to healthcare marketing. We’re typically referring to marketing analytics – reach, engagement, reputation, etc. when we say that. But what really needs to happen is that we measure, well, everything.

Providers today must have a baseline understanding of where they are today so they can either consolidate recent gains or make adjustments based on existing deficiencies (or both). A recent McKinsey study suggests that adoption of digital tools by consumers and businesses has vaulted forward five years in just a few months. It’s happened in healthcare, largely with telehealth. But we have to go deeper. It’s not just spooling up new platforms. It’s ingraining digital thinking into the organization’s psyche, getting buy-in from leadership, making targeted investments in tools and people, and yes, measuring the crap out of everything.

It’s also about setting expectations for what digital thinking can do for healthcare providers. This is where providers are lagging. In our conversations with clients and friends from a variety of healthcare provider organizations, we’re repeatedly hearing that people simply don’t have a great understanding of what the expectations for digital are or should be.

To set those expectations, you have to be able to show what digital can do for your organization. But it’s hard to show what digital can do without having the infrastructure in place to do it.

The fix? Instead of going for the homer, swing for singles and doubles with things like:

  • Listing management
  • Scheduling tools
  • Patient portals
  • Chatbots for frequently asked questions

These are all easy to identify. Not always simple to execute, but manageable. For example, since you want people to find the right information when they search for you online, start with that foundational piece. And if you want people to schedule care at their (and your) convenience, look at online tools.

Let’s be clear: This isn’t optional anymore. Since March, the pandemic has forced providers to get those foundational pieces in place. So much care moved online during the pandemic, and we’re still waiting to see what the new equilibrium looks like. As patient expectations have shifted even more towards digital options, providers desperately need to invest in getting the basics right – even though doing so will take some work.

Aside from being the right thing for patients, it’s important for marketers to think big but act small. You need to know what marketing can do for your organization and what digital tools can do for your marketing. That’s the big thinking. But none of that can happen without the day-to-day execution. Ultimately, it’s about people. It’s too easy to get lost in some of the bigger ideas, which just leads to frustrated consumers, distracted marketing teams and dead ends for everyone. Realistically, we have to focus on connecting with narrow groups of people, driving engagement and helping them find solutions to specific needs.

That’s where precision-based execution comes in. More on that soon.

In the meantime, if you want figure out how your organization stacks up when it comes to digital maturity, check out our new 28-question, 15-minute Digital Maturity Survey. You’ll get a complimentary scorecard and benchmark against industry averages.

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Lights, Action and the Theater of Safety

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Now is not the time to be subtle.

Fear of the novel coronavirus is as intense as it was this spring. Almost 80 percent of people are afraid they or someone they love will get COVID-19, according to a national consumer survey Jarrard Inc. recently fielded in August.

To be blunt, Americans just don’t feel safe. When we asked how safe they’d feel seeking medical care, the answer was, basically, “Not very.” Whether a doctor’s office, hospital, outpatient surgery center, ER or urgent care center, people rated their feelings of safety no higher than 5.8 on a 10-point scale. (If you’re wondering, urgent care rated the lowest at a 5.0). One in four people rated their feelings of safety at a three or below in our August survey. Not good.

And not much better than the results we received in our first consumer survey back in April.

It seems we have lost some momentum.

Think about it. When providers started reopening services this summer, the entire industry was talking about what people needed to hear from provider organizations. Everyone knew about safety concerns. But what seems to have happened is that too many providers created the safety messages, checked the box, reopened their facilities and said, “We’re good to go.” And with volumes coming back, it seems like it was successful.

Digging deeper, though, that strategy doesn’t appear to have worked. Our August survey asked how long people would wait until seeking various types of medical care. Short answer: Unless they really need it, they’re probably not going to come back for around six months, maybe longer. That’s also no better than in April.

What we need, right now, is a bit of theater.

Theater, not because it’s fake. But because it’s visible, clear, obvious. And it makes you feel something. Because people want to see, hear, smell and feel what you’re doing to keep them safe. We asked people what they need to help them feel safer interacting with healthcare, outside of a major decline in COVID-19 cases or a vaccine. Their top answers were:

  • Screening everyone as they enter a medical facility.
  • Masks on everyone.
  • Enhanced cleaning procedures.
  • Isolating COVID-19 cases somewhere else.

In a vacuum, it would be easy to lean back and think it’s okay to stop your entry checkpoints. The CDC says it doesn’t make much of a difference, so why do it? Two reasons.

First, when it comes to healthcare, we know that people don’t seek out information until they need it. People aren’t thinking about the safety messages you put out two months ago. You have to keep those safety messages top of mind. You have to make sure your website and social channels still have information about what you’re doing to keep people safe.

Second, people want to see activity. They want to be a real-time witness to your extensive precautions.

The key point is that there’s a difference between actual safety and how people feel about safety.

Yes, you have to provide safety – this is theater, not a Potemkin village. That means going above and beyond, not stopping at “just enough.” Whether the CDC says temperature checks are effective or not, seeing those checks provides a feeling of safety. So does seeing environmental services wiping down public areas and front desk staff saying, “Here’s a pen that I’ve just sanitized for you.”

Now take a step back. The theater of safety should start even before someone gets to that temperature checkpoint. Providers need to be showing how they’re keeping people safe, so that they feel safer about making an appointment in the first place. That means resisting the urge to demote safety information on your website. Keep it front and center. And the same goes for social media. Proactively share safety measures when people call to schedule an appointment. Even though it’s added work for your scheduling and nursing teams, there’s a lot to be said for continuing those pre-appointment safety calls. In our observation, those brief calls have helped patients realize, “Hey, they’re thinking about me. They’re working to keep me safe.”

All of those things create the theater of safety.

It’s a little cliché in the “consumerism of healthcare” and “patient experience” worlds to point to other customer-facing industries for examples of what healthcare could/should/would be doing. But other industries are creating the theater of safety better than we are. Consider these examples:

  • Southwest Airlines is doing a fantastic job. They’ve just informed customers that they’re keeping the middle seat open through at least October 31. When you board a Southwest plane today, you can literally smell the cleanliness.
  • Savvy grocery chains like Trader Joe’s have stationed an employee at the store entrance who hands you a cart and says, “This has been sanitized for you.”
  • Even actual theaters – movie theaters – are reopening and publishing extensive plans and guidelines. So far, it looks good on paper. The proof will be when we walk in and can enjoy the full two-and-a-half hours of Chris Nolan’s latest masterpiece. (I’ll be there this weekend.)

Know that this can be done – and really must be done. In the end, it’s a great opportunity for healthcare providers to reframe their thinking and keep a good thing going. After all, the show must go on.

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How will Health Systems Deal with a COVID-19 Vaccine?

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As opponents build their case, providers risk reputational damage if they don’t take a point of view.

Early in the COVID-19 era, sometime after Bargaining and Depression, Acceptance began to set in.

With it came the grim realization that we wouldn’t fully leave this era until there was a widely available and reliable COVID-19 vaccine. And we were told that cavalry wouldn’t be rolling in until early 2021 at the absolute soonest. Now here we are, months later, still in suspended animation and confronting another major question:

What if there’s a reliable vaccine, and people refuse to get it?

Our recent national consumer survey shows that just 53 percent of Americans are extremely or very likely to get a COVID-19 vaccine. Now, there’s a lot we don’t know about an eventual vaccine. But we do know two things:

  1. The public overwhelmingly expects and trusts healthcare providers to actively talk about healthcare issues, which includes educating about the coronavirus and encouraging people to take specific actions to protect public health.
  2. The looming war on vaccines will make the masking battles look like tickle fights.

Six months ago, no one cared about the idea of wearing a mask. The idea that it could become a major political signifier would have seemed absurd, even for these absurd times. But as we saw, the issue quickly took on major cultural importance for months before we settled into our current détente. Some of the political air has left the balloon. Most people have accepted their masked fate, while the holdouts remain largely unpersuadable.

There are several significant differences between masking and vaccines, with the most obvious being that one is gently draped in front of your body and the other goes directly into it (via needle, no less…shout out to my fellow trypanophobiacs!). There’s also the fact that suspicion about vaccines has steadily risen over the last several years, long before COVID-19 swept the land. Some groups, particularly marginalized groups with unpleasant histories of medical trials in this country, have every right to be wary. Then there are the Jenny McCarthys of the world, whose rationales are less reasonable but even more, uh, viral.

So, are we telling you that you have to mandate vaccines for all your employees and aggressively promote the vaccine’s efficacy to the public? We are not.

However, as the trusted voice on healthcare in your community, healthcare leaders have an opportunity and a responsibility to educate the public, starting with the people who work within your organization.

Of the 47 percent of the public (and 40% of healthcare employees) who are hesitant about taking the hypothetical vaccine, the overwhelming majority are either worried about the potential side effects or worried about getting infected from the vaccine. These are very reasonable concerns about what is likely to be the most quickly developed vaccine in history. They are also an opportunity for health systems to leverage the trust the public has invested in them in a way that answers the public health concerns they seek.

Broad education on vaccines must start now, while clarifying that specific instruction on what to expect from a COVID-19 vaccine will come later, when we have the appropriate information. Don’t take for granted that everyone understands how vaccines work. Hypothetically, there could be a communications consultant who’s worked in healthcare for years but is just learning today how they actually work. Hypothetically.

Both now and later, explain how your organization will evaluate any vaccine. Make it clear that you won’t just be pulling syringes off an unmarked van and administering them to patients. (You’re not going to be doing that, right?) By explaining the process, we can begin to socialize the idea that any vaccine that comes our way will be thoroughly reviewed for safety and efficacy – “Operation Warp Speed” notwithstanding.

This is a major challenge, and it’s one that many health systems would prefer to avoid. It is an instantly political issue which will be further politicized and weaponized in our dismal national discourse. While it may not feel like it, the far greater reputational risk lies in health systems not doing everything they can to get responsible, timely and accurate information out to the public. As we continue to confront the greatest public health crisis this generation has seen, shrinking from the moment is a guaranteed way to lose the trust you’ve built.

What is your plan? You don’t have an option to sit this out, so you best start preparing one now.

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